Notes from ChinaFile
04.30.25

Cautioning His Students to Stay Quiet, A Scholar of China Hears Echoes of Its Past in America's Present

Michael Berry

For several generations now, the overriding philosophy of life for many Chinese intellectuals and average citizens has been “mingzhe baoshen,” (明哲保身) which dictionaries define as “a wise man looks after his own hide” or “put one’s own safety...

Conversation
04.08.25

What Even Is Trump’s China Strategy?

Wendy Cutler, Michael Hirson & more

When it comes to China, there are several different factions pushing the Trump Administration in different directions: MAGA nationalists who favor economic, cultural, and possibly military warfare against China; more old-fashioned...

Viewpoint
04.08.25

Three Potential Pitfalls of Trump’s Approach to China

Ali Wyne

Many observers argue that the first Trump administration played an important role in consolidating a bipartisan U.S. “consensus” on China, the core element of which is a judgment that Beijing is Washington’s foremost strategic competitor....

Media
04.07.25

ChinaFile Presents: Shifting Terrain in U.S.-China Relations, Xi Jinping’s Vision for China’s Future

Julian B. Gewirtz & Susan Jakes

On March 11, ChinaFile and the Center for China Analysis (CCA) hosted a conversation between Julian Gewirtz, a historian, China expert, and former senior director for China and Taiwan Affairs at the National Security Council under President Joe...

Viewpoint
03.13.25

U.S.-Soviet Détente and the Future of U.S.-China Relations

Christopher Chivvis

In the early 1960s, the United States and the Soviet Union passed through a period of intense rivalry. The Soviets built the Berlin Wall. A nuclear war almost broke out over Soviet plans to deploy missiles to Cuba. But...

Postcard
02.05.25

A Date with the Cultural Revolution

Q

At first glance, J and Q were stereotypical highly-educated Democrats. They resided in Lexington, Virginia, a small liberal college town of 7,000 where they each worked at historic institutions of higher education. J, a business...

Conversation
01.20.24

Managing the Taiwan Election Aftermath

Ryan Hass, Yu-Jie Chen & more

Lai Ching-te is now president-elect of Taiwan, after a hard-fought race in which Beijing made its preference for his opponents clear. Lai is an outspoken advocate for Taiwan’s sovereignty, though he has said he wants to keep the status quo with...

Viewpoint
12.15.23

Does America Have an End Game on China?

Zack Cooper
from Foreign Policy

This fall, U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan noted that the Biden administration is “often asked about the end state of U.S. competition with China.” He argued that “we do not expect a transformative end state like the one that...

China in the World Podcast
11.08.23

10 Years of U.S.-China Trade Relations

Paul Haenle, Yukon Huang & more
from Carnegie China

Trade ties between the U.S. and China have undergone significant changes since the launch of the China in the World podcast 10 years ago. This episode helps shed light on the evolution of U.S.-China trade relations over that time.

China in the World Podcast
02.14.23

10 Years of U.S.-China Diplomacy

Paul Haenle, Yan Xuetong & more
from Carnegie China

To commemorate the 10th anniversary of the China in the World podcast, in this podcast episode Carnegie China is looking back on 10 years of U.S.-China diplomacy following the postponement of U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s planned visit...

Viewpoint
07.20.21

Making Sense of Support for Donald Trump in China

He Weifang

As the dust finally settled on the U.S. presidential election that shook the world, Biden was sworn in as president, and Trump, who tried everything to cling to a second term, slunk out of the capital city of Washington, D.C. in disgrace. Looking...

Conversation
05.22.21

How Should the U.S. Respond to China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy?

Elsa Kania, Tai Ming Cheung & more

During Donald Trump’s presidency, the term “military-civil fusion” (MCF) came to feature prominently in U.S. officials’ characterizations of their concerns about China. While efforts to integrate China’s civilian and defense economies have been a...

Viewpoint
04.27.21

The Right Way to Bring Chinese STEM Talent Back to the U.S.

Evan Burke

The Trump administration deployed a raft of restrictions on international students and workers, many of which directly targeted or disproportionally impacted Chinese STEM talent. While some measures had a basis in legitimate concerns like illicit...

The NYRB China Archive
01.13.21

Seeing the CCP Clearly

Perry Link
from New York Review of Books

The split between the two friends is a small example of a wider disagreement between “Trump boosters” and “Trump critics” in the Chinese dissident community. The rift is plainly visible both inside and outside China and is likely to persist in...

China in the World Podcast
11.02.20

The Korean Peninsula after the U.S. Elections

Paul Haenle, Alexander Gabuev & more
from Carnegie China

The result of the upcoming U.S. presidential election will directly impact how the United States, China, and Russia approach issues on the Korean Peninsula. How would a second Trump or first Biden administration deal with North Korea? How do...

Conversation
10.16.20

A New Normal for U.S. China Policy?

Teng Biao, Isabel Hilton & more

After four years of Trump’s trade wars, withdrawal from international bodies, and xenophobic immigration policies, the United States has hit an apex of isolationism. Even if a new government steps in, however, it’s not altogether clear the U.S....

Viewpoint
09.10.20

In Defense of Diplomacy with China

James Green

Critics of the last four decades of China policy have incorrectly and simplistically labeled diplomacy a failure because the People’s Republic did not become a liberal democracy. That was never the goal or an achievable objective of U.S. policy....

Conversation
08.05.20

What Now?

Jerome A. Cohen, Scott Kennedy & more

The past several months have been a particularly volatile period in U.S.-China relations. After last month’s closures of the Chinese consulate in Houston and the American consulate in Chengdu, we asked contributions to give us their assessments...

Viewpoint
08.04.20

Reciprocity in U.S. Relations with China Should Be a Tool, Not the Whole Strategy

Lucas Tcheyan & Sam Bresnick

Since the outset of the U.S.-China trade war, critics have castigated the Trump administration for its capricious approach to relations with Beijing. They have found fault in particular with Donald Trump’s flip-flopping on sanctioning ZTE,...

Viewpoint
06.10.20

For Me, the Breakdown in U.S.-China Relations Is Personal

Judy Polumbaum

In my childhood, they were the Red Chinese. In my husband’s upbringing, we were the American imperialists. U.S.-China reconciliation after ping-pong diplomacy enabled us to meet and marry 40 years ago. Those of us with a foot in each world find...

China in the World Podcast
05.27.20

Coronavirus and the Korean Peninsula

Paul Haenle, Zhao Tong & more
from Carnegie China

As nations confront the pandemic, rumors of Kim Jong-un’s death and a flurry of North Korean missile tests injected even more uncertainty in the international landscape. How do views in Washington, Seoul, and Beijing differ or align on North...

Viewpoint
05.21.20

A New U.S. ‘Consensus’ on China May Not Be as Solid as It Appears

Ali Wyne

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought ties between Washington and Beijing to their lowest level since the countries normalized relations in 1979, with many observers warning that they have entered into either “a new Cold War” or at least “a new type...

Viewpoint
05.21.20

How Will Historians Look Back at the Coronavirus Outbreak?

Sulmaan Khan

Imagine that a historian decides to reflect on the pandemic, asking quite simply, “How did it come to this?” There would be many ways of telling that story. But one way would be to chart a series of off-ramps on the road to disaster. Some of...

Conversation
05.19.20

What Are the Right and the Wrong Ways for the U.S. to Support Taiwan?

Daniel R. Russel, Yu-Jie Chen & more

What are the right and wrong ways for the U.S. to support Taiwan? Traditionally, America’s goals have been to deter the mainland from aggression and coercion, support Taiwan’s democratic system, strengthen economic ties, and help it maintain...

Conversation
03.28.20

Is U.S.-China Cooperation on COVID-19 Still Possible?

Julian B. Gewirtz, Deborah Seligsohn & more

Over the past two weeks, as the outbreak of the virus known has COVID-19 has accelerated its deadly spread around the world, an already collapsing U.S.-China relationship appears to be entering a period of free fall. This is happening at a moment...

Viewpoint
03.20.20

Xi Jinping May Welcome Trump’s Racism

Dan Baer

The coronavirus pandemic has ushered in a new low-point for the already strained relationship between...

Conversation
01.08.20

China: The Year Ahead

David Schlesinger, Scott Kennedy & more

As 2019 drew to a close, ChinaFile asked contributors to write about their expectations for China in 2020.

Viewpoint
10.01.19

We Need to Pull U.S.-China Relations Back from the Brink. Here’s How.

Orville Schell & Zha Daojiong

Like it or not, the U.S. and China are in the process of “decoupling.” The two countries find themselves drifting dangerously back into a state of growing distrust, and even antagonism. Both sides have their narratives and grievances that prevent...

China in the World Podcast
09.05.19

Is the U.S.-China Relationship in Free Fall?: Part I

Paul Haenle & Da Wei
from Carnegie China

The Trump administration has focused China’s attention on the need to address underlying issues in the bilateral relationship, but it has overstepped. Trump’s use of tariffs has hardened Chinese views and limited Beijing’s ability to make...

Conversation
05.31.19

What Exactly Is the Story with China’s Rare Earths?

Paul Haenle & Scott Kennedy
from ChinaFile

Deng Xiaoping reportedly said that while the Middle East has oil, China has rare earths. On May 29, Communist Party newspaper the People’s Daily warned of the United States’ “uncomfortable” dependence on Chinese rare earths: “Will rare earths...

Conversation
05.30.19

What Are We Getting Wrong about the Trade War?

Victor Shih, Yu Zhou & more
from ChinaFile

Since the collapse of trade talks in mid-May, voices from both sides have warned of the economic havoc their side can unleash while boasting of their economy’s resilience. Academics in China speak about weaponizing the country’s foreign exchange...

Viewpoint
04.30.19

Trade: Parade of Broken Promises

Elizabeth Economy
from Democracy: A Journal of Ideas

The trade war between the United States and China has not given either side much to cheer about. As of January, Washington has levied 10 percent tariffs on U.S.$250 billion in Chinese goods, and China has reciprocated with similar tariffs on U.S...

Conversation
04.30.19

If the U.S. and China Make a Trade Deal, Then What?

Michael Hirson, Graham Webster & more

The U.S.-China trade war has always been about more than just trade. Among other issues, it represents a move towards the decoupling of the two economies. Sometime within the next few weeks, Washington and Beijing may call a truce on the trade...

The China Africa Project
04.15.19

A Conservative American View on U.S.-China-Africa Relations

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

Colonel Chris Wyatt, Director of African Studies at the U.S. Army War College, joins Eric and Cobus to discuss a conservative U.S. foreign policy outlook regarding Africa and his views on Chinese engagement on the continent.

China in the World Podcast
04.15.19

Susan Thornton on a Crisis in U.S.-China Relations

Paul Haenle & Susan Thornton
from Carnegie China

Over three years into Trump’s presidency, U.S.-China trade and economic issues remain unresolved while security concerns are creeping into the bilateral agenda. Thornton contends that Washington and Beijing should quickly agree on an initial...

The China Africa Project
02.07.19

Why China Doesn’t Need to Worry about Washington’s New Africa Policy

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

When U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton announced Washington’s new strategy for Africa last December, he mentioned China 14 times in his speech. So often, in fact, that a lot of observers commented that the new policy seemed to be more...

Viewpoint
12.21.18

A Look Back at China in 2018

Kyle Hutzler

In 2018, the outlook for China regarding its politics, economy, and relationship with the United States darkened considerably. The removal of presidential term limits and Xi Jinping’s interactions with the Trump administration prompted rare...

Conversation
12.11.18

Is this the Beginning of a New Cold War?

Ali Wyne, Yuen Yuen Ang & more

Beyond complicating trade negotiations between the United States and China, the arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou has renewed concerns that the two countries are embarking on a new Cold War, based on economic preeminence and technological...

China in the World Podcast
10.18.18

How Will China Respond to Global Concerns about its Trade and Economic Policies?

Paul Haenle & Da Wei
from Carnegie China

Official Chinese narratives about the U.S.-China trade war have not included Chinese reflection or discussion of what role China’s own policies have played in creating trade tensions. Many of the concerns on structural issues, such as market...

Conversation
10.12.18

Is America Overreacting to the Threat of Chinese Influence?

Isaac Stone Fish, Taisu Zhang & more

American civil and political discourse has seen a growing number of reports about worrying Chinese governmental influence in the United States. Most recently, U.S. Vice President Mike Pence decried the “malign influence” of China in the United...

China in the World Podcast
10.09.18

The U.S. and China as Peer Competitors in the Indo-Pacific

Paul Haenle & Abigail Grace
from Carnegie China

The Trump administration has taken a more confrontational approach to bilateral relations with China, implementing tariffs on nearly half of all Chinese exports to the U.S. and treating Beijing as a strategic competitor across many aspects of the...

China in the World Podcast
09.20.18

North Korea Diplomacy and U.S.-China Relations

Paul Haenle & Kaiser Kuo
from Carnegie China

Paul Haenle joined Kaiser Kuo to discuss next steps for DPRK diplomacy and tensions between the United States and China over trade, Taiwan, and the Belt and Road Initiative. Haenle shared his experience working as White House representative to...

Conversation
09.10.18

Is the Trade War Hurting Xi Jinping Politically?

Roselyn Hsueh, Andrew J. Nathan & more

What are the domestic politics for Xi Jinping of a trade war? How much is the trade war actually hurting China’s economy? And what other effects is this having on China, and on Xi’s ability to govern?

Viewpoint
08.27.18

Beijing’s Bid for Global Power in the Age of Trump

Alfred W. McCoy
from TomDispatch

As the second year of Donald Trump’s presidency and sixth of Xi Jinping’s draws to a close, the world seems to be witnessing one of those epochal clashes that can change the contours of global power. Just as conflicts between American President...

Conversation
08.01.18

What Would a U.S. War—or Peace—with Iran mean for China?

Jarrett Blanc, Michael Kovrig & more

China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil, Iran’s largest trading partner, and arguably its most important positive political relationship. What do Trump’s threats to Iran mean for China’s relationship with the country? And how would a war...

China in the World Podcast
07.25.18

U.S.-China Tensions over Trade and Technology

Paul Haenle & Chen Dingding
from Carnegie China

Chen says deteriorating bilateral relations are due to both the Trump administration’s trade policies and to a growing U.S. consensus that foreign policy toward China should be reevaluated. The Chinese government’s view that industrial policy is...

The China Africa Project
07.05.18

A U.S. View on China’s So-Called ‘Debtbook Diplomacy’ Agenda

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

For the past year or so, senior U.S. government officials have been accusing China of engaging in so-called “debtbook diplomacy,” a tactic that Washington contends intentionally burdens developing countries with billions of dollars of loans. When...

Trump Threatens Tariffs On $200 Billion Of Chinese Goods

In the latest move in an escalating trade dispute, President Trump announced Monday evening that he was asking U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to suggest $200 billion worth of Chinese goods on which the U.S. could impose a 10 percent...

The Unexpected Winner From the Trump-Kim Summit: China

China is setting its sights on a key role in North Korea’s future, seeking to be part of any peace treaty, weapons inspections and economic assistance, after emerging as a surprise beneficiary of the summit between the U.S. and North Korean...

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