Viewpoint
01.26.23

What Impact Would a U.S. Debt Default Have on China?

Arthur R. Kroeber

The big political drama in Washington in the next few months will be the fight over the federal debt ceiling. The worst-case scenario is that Congress refuses to raise the ceiling and the U.S. Treasury defaults on its debt. Since U.S. treasury...

China in the World Podcast
08.18.22

China’s Role in Sri Lanka’s Debt Crisis

Paul Haenle & Anushka Wijesinha
from Carnegie China

In this episode of the China in the World podcast, Paul Haenle speaks with Anushka Wijesinha about the ongoing political and economic crisis in Sri Lanka. The discussion covers the domestic and international causes of Sri Lanka’s debt crisis,...

Viewpoint
07.18.19

‘See, They Are So Happy with Our Generosity!’

Yaqiu Wang

On June 22, in Sihanoukville, a port city in southwest Cambodia, a Chinese-owned building under construction collapsed, killing at least 28 people, all Cambodians. The owner had undertaken the construction without the required permit, and defied...

The China Africa Project
07.17.19

Where is the Evidence of Debt Traps in Africa?

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

To discuss accusations that China engages in so-called “debt trap diplomacy,” Eric and Cobus spoke with Deborah Brautigam, a Johns Hopkins University Professor and Director of the China-Africa Research Initiative in Washington, D.C. The “debt...

The China Africa Project
05.16.19

Confused About China’s Belt and Road Agenda? You’re Not Alone.

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

Thirty-seven foreign heads of state came to Beijing this week to take part in the second Belt and Road summit hosted by Chinese President Xi Jinping. Some leaders, like Kenya’s President Uhuru Kenyatta, came with expectations to...

The China Africa Project
05.16.19

Chinese and Africans are Having Totally Different Conversations About Their Relationship

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

Chinese news coverage and African and international reports are often starkly different from one another, even when discussing the same issues. With Chinese and African news consumers reading vastly different perspectives, what can be done to...

The China Africa Project
05.10.19

Is the Belt and Road Initiative a Bold Economic Agenda or a Political Ploy?

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

In an ongoing series that explores different interpretations of what exactly is the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Eric and Cobus are joined by Zhu Zheng, an international affairs columnist for Caixin and a research fellow at the China-Eastern...

The China Africa Project
01.18.19

African Governments Need to Negotiate Better Deals With China. Here's How They Can Do It.

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

The problem with the “debt trap” theory is that it too often strips Africans of their agency in the negotiating process. That either they don’t know what they are doing or they’re simply negotiating bad deals. While both of those may be true, in...

The China Africa Project
01.11.19

China’s Economy is Slowing and That’s Really Bad News for Africa

Eric Olander & Jeremy Stevens

Pretty much every major economic indicator suggests that the Chinese economy will continue its downward momentum in 2019. Industrial production, retail sales, and even the once red-hot property market are all showing real signs of weakness. Some...

The China Africa Project
09.20.18

Whose Problem is Kenya’s Debt: Kenya’s or China’s?

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

Nairobi-based international development economist Anzetse Were suggests in a new paper that Kenya’s leaders, not China, should be the ones held accountable for borrowing too much money without a detailed, transparent plan on how to repay the...

China Millennials’ Love of Credit Cards Raises Debt Fears

Mr Wang is part of a generation of young consumers who have rejected the thrifty habits of their elders and become used to spending with borrowed money. Outstanding consumer loans — used for vehicle purchases, holidays, household renovations and...

The China Africa Project
07.05.18

A U.S. View on China’s So-Called ‘Debtbook Diplomacy’ Agenda

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

For the past year or so, senior U.S. government officials have been accusing China of engaging in so-called “debtbook diplomacy,” a tactic that Washington contends intentionally burdens developing countries with billions of dollars of loans. When...

The China Africa Project
04.16.18

Angola: China’s Risky Gamble in Africa

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

China has loaned Angola an estimated U.S.$60 billion dollars since the two countries established diplomatic relations back in 1983, making it one of the top destinations for Chinese financing in Africa. Angola is especially attractive for the...

Books
04.12.18

China’s Great Wall of Debt

An inside look at how and why the foundations upon which China has built the world’s second largest economy have started to crumble.

The China Africa Project
03.19.18

Tillerson’s Last Act: ‘Do as I Say, Not as I Do’ Advice for Africa

Eric Olander & Brooks Spector

There is a certain irony when a U.S. envoy travels to Africa to warn his hosts about the dangers of borrowing money from China. The United States, after all, is the world’s most indebted country and borrows more from China than any other nation...

Founder of China's Embattled LeEco Placed on Debt Blacklist

The high-profile founder of struggling Chinese tech conglomerate LeEco has been placed on an official blacklist of debt defaulters, a further blow to a firm that had spent heavily to compete in areas from smart cars to online entertainment.

China's Debt Levels Pose Stability Risk, Says IMF

Fears that China risks being the cause of a fresh global financial crisis have been highlighted by the International Monetary Fund in a hard-hitting warning about the growing debt-dependency of the world’s second biggest economy.

China to Debtors: Pay up or Be Shamed

Troubled by huge debts run up by big state companies and politically connected local governments, China is taking steps instead to go after the little guys.

As China Piles on Debt, Consumers Seek a Piece of the Action

Chinese central bank data shows that consumer loans have grown almost 50 percent since the start of last year, and the International Monetary Fund said it expected China’s household debt as a percentage of its economic output to double by 2022...

China Reclaims Spot as World's Biggest Holder of Treasuries

China reclaimed its position as the top foreign owner of U.S. Treasuries after increasing its holdings for the fifth straight month.

China’s holdings of U.S. bonds, notes and bills rose to $1.15 trillion in June, up $44.3 billion from a...

Debt-Ridden Chinese Giant Now a Shadow of Its Former Size

The Han Show here in central China was supposed to turn the city of Wuhan into a leading tourist destination, with a dazzling spectacle of lights, water jets and acrobats by the former creative director of Cirque du Soleil. But the custom-built 2...

The China Africa Project
06.06.17

Chinese Debt in Africa: How Much Is Too Much?

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

China now owns more than half of Kenya’s external debt, and that figure is likely to grow even higher as President Uhuru...

China Has a Huge Debt Problem. How Bad Is It?

Credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded China this week, warning that the country’s financial health is suffering from rising debt and slowing economic growth. It’s the first time the agency has cut China’s rating in nearly three decades.

China’s Downgrade Could Lead to a Mountain of Debt

The downgrade of China’s debt by Moody’s Investors Service may push Chinese companies to borrow even more money from domestic banks as overseas debt becomes more expensive, increasing risks for the nation’s finance industry.

Caixin Media
05.05.17

Belt and Road: A Symphony in Need of a Strong Conductor

In just a few weeks, the Chinese president will host the Belt and Road summit—Xi Jinping’s landmark program to invest billions of dollars in infrastructure projects across Asia, Africa, and Europe. Reactions to the project have...

China Is Facing a Catch-22 Dilemma

A subsidiary of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has recently reached deals with seven Chinese state-owned enterprises to convert about 60 billion yuan ($8.7 billion) of unpaid loans into equity shares.

Media
08.25.16

China Analysts Should Talk to Each Other, Not at Each Other

Scott Kennedy

On August 12, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued its annual report card on China’s economy and gave the country mixed grades, finding...

Caixin Media
08.09.16

China's New 'Bad Loan' Managers: Savvy Saviors or Riskier than Ever?

As China's economy slows and defaults rise, 'bad loan' managers say they spot an opportunity to pick up bargains, because lenders are eager to shed toxic debt that might otherwise poison the broader financial system. Yet questions remain about...

Conversation
05.24.16

How Much Debt Is Too Much in China?

Yukon Huang, Houze Song & more

In the first quarter of 2016, Chinese debt rose to 237 percent of GDP—a level comparable to that of the U.S. or the Eurozone and yet much larger than that of most developing economies, according to...

Caixin Media
04.05.16

No Point in Ramping Up Personal Debt to Help Property Market

Having banks and local governments deleverage and trim overcapacity are part and parcel with central government efforts to maintain stable growth by nurturing the supply side of the economy. But even as this is happening, the...

The China Africa Project
01.19.16

Africa Feels the Chill of China’s Cooling Economy

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more

It hasn’t even been a month since Chinese president Xi Jinping was in South Africa for the triennial Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) confab where he...

Caixin Media
01.20.15

Good Times Are Over for Local Governments

Two pieces of recent news have piqued the public's interest. First, local governments reported their latest debt figures to the Ministry of Finance. The numbers have not been made public, but sources say many officials reported large amounts in...

Features
12.10.14

Why Beijing’s Troubles Could Get a Lot Worse

from Barron’s

Few foreigners know China as intimately as Anne Stevenson-Yang does. She has spent the bulk of her professional life there since first arriving in 1985, working as a journalist, magazine publisher, and software executive, with stints in between...

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